Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 0.061891 0.066926 0.072011 0.077526 0.083329 0.089248 0.095734
2025-02-23 0.051901 0.059114 0.066655 0.075100 0.084267 0.093889 0.104726
2025-03-02 0.045202 0.053972 0.063430 0.074324 0.086464 0.099515 0.114546
2025-03-09 0.039982 0.049884 0.060869 0.073846 0.088645 0.104885 0.123945
2025-03-16 0.037406 0.048475 0.061055 0.076232 0.093870 0.113550 0.136994
2025-03-23 0.034668 0.046593 0.060462 0.077527 0.097704 0.120557 0.148147
2025-03-30 0.032148 0.044739 0.059704 0.078456 0.100984 0.126847 0.158444
2025-04-06 0.029380 0.042354 0.058112 0.078218 0.102745 0.131271 0.166519
2025-04-13 0.027913 0.041478 0.058263 0.080005 0.106868 0.138443 0.177818
2025-04-20 0.025470 0.039167 0.056470 0.079258 0.107808 0.141750 0.184494
2025-04-27 0.023764 0.037705 0.055649 0.079634 0.110051 0.146577 0.192964
2025-05-04 0.022642 0.036947 0.055670 0.081023 0.113517 0.152871 0.203213
2025-05-11 0.022169 0.037088 0.056902 0.084038 0.119137 0.161959 0.217074
2025-05-18 0.019618 0.034148 0.053898 0.081426 0.117534 0.162082 0.219954
2025-05-25 0.017921 0.032322 0.052302 0.080580 0.118124 0.164885 0.226110
2025-06-01 0.016479 0.030775 0.051006 0.080062 0.119081 0.168114 0.232785
2025-06-08 0.016118 0.030836 0.051952 0.082580 0.124026 0.176420 0.245858
2025-06-15 0.015430 0.030344 0.052073 0.083945 0.127443 0.182793 0.256540
2025-06-22 0.014678 0.029701 0.051938 0.084925 0.130335 0.188497 0.266404
2025-06-29 0.013633 0.028517 0.050956 0.084672 0.131536 0.192005 0.273481
2025-07-06 0.013239 0.028374 0.051495 0.086560 0.135636 0.199290 0.285414
2025-07-13 0.012179 0.027045 0.050195 0.085771 0.136051 0.201747 0.291154
2025-07-20 0.011487 0.026298 0.049741 0.086168 0.138071 0.206300 0.299602